162 Small Business Failure Statistics November 2026

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On this page
  1. Key Takeaways
  2. Do most new businesses survive?
  3. What is the construction business failure rate?
  4. How many businesses open and close each year?
  5. Are new and tiny shops the ones that close?
  6. How many small businesses make money?
  7. What problems do owners name?
  8. Can small firms get the credit they need?
  9. How many businesses file for bankruptcy?
  10. How many new businesses are starting?
  11. How big is small business in America?
  12. Methodology and Sources

Small business failure statistics start with one hard number. Of the 569,387 US establishments that opened in the year to March 1994, 71,595 were still open in March 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025). That is a long window, and the first five years do most of the damage.

This page is for owners of HVAC and home service shops with 1 to 10 techs, and for anyone who needs the numbers. Most of the data covers all small businesses or all of construction, not HVAC alone, and the text says which. Where the Census Bureau splits out building equipment contractors, the group that holds HVAC, we show it. For the wider market, see HVAC industry statistics.

Closing is not the same as going broke, and the tables count both. A shop that shuts when its owner retires counts as closed too. So we also show profit, cash pressure, credit and bankruptcy. Small businesses employ 62.3 million people, which is 45.9 percent of private sector workers (SBA Office of Advocacy, Feb 2026). Updated November 2026. The newest data is from October 2026.

Key Takeaways

Do most new businesses survive?

About half of new businesses do not reach year five, and the loss is front-loaded. The odds at birth have moved only a few points in 30 years, so a startup in 2026 faces about the same risk as one in 1996.

Small business failure statistics: share of US private sector establishments opened in the year to March 1994 that were still open each year, 1995 to 2025 Figure 1: Of 569,387 establishments opened in the year to March 1994, the survival rate since birth falls from 79.6% after one year to 49.6% after five and 12.6% after 31 years, while the average staff of survivors grows from 7.2 to 26.9. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7, Mar 2025. Screenshot of an Internet Archive copy of the source file, captured 20 Oct 2026, because bls.gov blocks automated capture.

How many new businesses survive the first year?

About four in five. The first year is the cheapest year to lose.

  • Of the 988,310 establishments that opened in the year to March 2024, 77.9% were still open a year later (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025).
  • The cohort that opened in the year to March 2020 did better, with 80.9% open after one year (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025).
  • From 1994 to 2022, an average of 67.7% of new employer establishments lasted at least two years (SBA Office of Advocacy, Feb 2026).

How many new businesses survive five years?

About half. The range across 27 cohorts is narrow.

  • Of the 679,797 establishments opened in the year to March 2005, 46.8% were open five years later (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025).
  • The 2015 cohort of 677,876 openings reached 50.2% at year five (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025).
  • Across cohorts opened from 1994 to 2020, five-year survival ran from 45.4% for the 2006 cohort to 51.9% for the 2018 cohort (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar 2025).

How many businesses last ten years or more?

About one in three reach year ten, and the risk then drops sharply.

Do the survivors grow?

Yes. The shops that last add people.

What is the construction business failure rate?

Construction is a boom and bust trade. The housing crash gave the worst startup odds in the table, and the last ten years gave better odds than the all-industry rate. For output, firms and jobs across the trade, see construction industry statistics.

Construction establishments opened in the year to March 2005 and the share still open each year to March 2025 Figure 2: Of 80,087 construction establishments opened in the year to March 2005, survival since birth fell to 43.7% by year four and 16.1% by year twenty, as the housing bust cut the survivors’ own survival rate to 79.1% in March 2009. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Employment Dynamics, Table 7 for construction, Mar 2025. Screenshot of an Internet Archive copy of the source file, captured 20 Oct 2026, because bls.gov blocks automated capture.

How many construction startups last five years?

In the 2005 cohort, more than half were gone by year four.

Did the housing bust change the odds?

Yes. Openings peaked in the bubble and then collapsed.

Which construction trades close the most?

Not all trades close at the same speed. The Census Bureau counts closings by industry group.

  • In 2023, 77,211 construction establishments closed (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • That year 64,629 construction firms exited, and 237,743 jobs were tied to them (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Construction had the sixth highest closing rate of 19 sector groups (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Building construction (NAICS 236) closed 13.4% of establishments, the highest of the construction groups (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Heavy and civil engineering (NAICS 237) closed 8.2% (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Specialty trade contractors (NAICS 238) closed 10.2% and numbered 442,786 firms (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).

What do HVAC business success statistics 2026 look like?

HVAC sits in the building equipment group, which closes less often than the other specialty trades. The group also holds plumbing and electrical work, so the numbers are not HVAC alone.

  • The Census Bureau lists heating, ventilation and air-conditioning contractors under NAICS 238220, in the 2382 group of building equipment contractors (U.S. Census Bureau, Dec 2021).
  • That group had 177,201 firms and 2,369,218 jobs in 2023 (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Its sister groups closed more: foundation and exterior contractors 11.5%, building finishing contractors 12.0%, and other specialty trades 10.4% (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • New establishments entered the group at 10.5% in 2023, ahead of its closings (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Its closing rate was 7.9% in 2019 (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Its firm exits rose from 9,617 in 2019 to 12,921 in 2023 (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).

How many businesses open and close each year?

Closing is normal. In most years nearly as many businesses close as open, so the churn is large and the net change is small.

US establishment births and deaths by year, 2013 to 2023 Figure 3: Establishment births stayed above deaths every year from 2013 to 2023, but the gap narrowed after the 2021 and 2022 start-up surge as deaths climbed. Source: SBA Office of Advocacy, Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business, Feb 2026. Chart published by the source, rendered from page 3 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How often do establishments open and close?

The closing rate has crept up since before the pandemic.

How many firms exit?

More firms exit than before the pandemic, and the gap is wide.

  • 523,958 US firms exited in 2023, up from 404,886 in 2019 (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Those exits came out of 5,593,727 firms in 2023 (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • In the first quarter of 2025, 284,000 establishments closed and 809,000 jobs were lost (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Jul 2026).
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025 there were 338,000 establishment births, which accounted for 1,006,000 jobs (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Jul 2026).
  • Gross job losses from contracting and closing establishments were 7.2 million that quarter, against 7.8 million gains from expanding and opening ones (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Jul 2026).

Did the pandemic change how often firms close?

Aid may have delayed some closings. The exit rate then jumped.

  • Among small firms active in 2019, the yearly exit rate was 7.5% in 2020, 5.5% in 2021, 10.1% in 2022, 8.0% in 2023 and 6.6% in 2024 (JPMorganChase Institute, Jul 2025).
  • The median life expectancy for small businesses in that bank sample has hovered around five years (JPMorganChase Institute, Jul 2025).
  • The median firm in that group was four years old in 2019 (JPMorganChase Institute, Jul 2025).

Are new and tiny shops the ones that close?

Closing risk is not spread evenly. It piles up on shops in their first two years and on shops with fewer than five people.

Profit, hiring plans and financing results for startup and older firms, employers and nonemployers Figure 4: In 2022, startup firms of 0 to 2 years were less likely to be at a profit than older firms, at 25% against 52% for employers and 21% against 40% for nonemployers, and they leaned harder on owner money. Source: Federal Reserve Banks, 2024 Report on Startup Firms, Dec 2024. Slide of the source report, rendered from its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How does the closing rate change with age?

It falls fast in the first five years and then flattens.

How does size change the closing rate?

Size is the sharper line.

  • In construction, establishments of firms with 1 to 4 employees closed at 16.5% in 2023, against 2.2% for firms with 5 to 9 employees (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Firms with 10 to 19 employees closed 1.6% and firms with 20 to 99 employees closed 1.4% (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • Across the economy the same two classes closed 2.9% and 2.7% (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).
  • In 2023, 440,449 construction firms had 1 to 4 employees, and 60,789 firms of that size exited (U.S. Census Bureau, Sep 2025).

Do young firms make money?

Few do. Profit rises with age.

How many small businesses make money?

Staying open and making money are different tests. Many shops stay open at break-even or at a loss, and the survey shows how many.

Profit, revenue and employment results for US employer firms, 2025 Small Business Credit Survey Figure 5: Just under half of employer firms were at a profit at the end of 2024, and the revenue growth index slid from 35 in the 2018 survey to minus 63 in 2020 and has sat near zero since 2022. Source: Federal Reserve Banks, 2026 Report on Employer Firms, Mar 2026. Chart published by the source, rendered from page 7 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How many employer firms are profitable?

Fewer than half. One in five only breaks even.

Does firm size change profit?

Yes. Bigger firms make money more often.

How do the trades compare?

The group that includes construction does better than retail and leisure firms. Specialty trade sole proprietors also report net income more often than the average.

What problems do owners name?

Owners name sales and staff before they name rent or rules. Then comes the cost of everything they buy.

Operational challenges reported by US employer firms in the prior 12 months, 2025 Small Business Credit Survey Figure 6: Reaching customers and growing sales is the top operational problem for employer firms at 57%, ahead of hiring and keeping qualified staff at 46%, and only 11% report no operational challenge. Source: Federal Reserve Banks, 2026 Report on Employer Firms, Mar 2026. Chart published by the source, rendered from page 9 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

What operational problems come up most?

Finding work comes first, then finding people.

What financial problems come up most?

Costs lead, and tariffs add to them. For what customers pay, see pricing statistics.

What did owners do about it?

They used reserves and raised prices.

How do construction firms rate themselves right now?

Most say average or better, but a fifth see hours falling.

  • In the Census Bureau’s survey, 15.4% of construction firms rated current performance excellent and 21.4% above average (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • 14.5% rated it below average and 3.3% poor (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • Hours worked fell at 20.3% of construction firms and rose at 7.4%, in the two weeks to 20 September 2026 (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • In the same two weeks, the number of paid employees fell at 11.8% and rose at 6.0% (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • Delivery times from suppliers rose at 11.0% (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • Looking six months out, 12.4% expect below average performance and 4.0% expect poor (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • Across all US businesses, 6.8% reported money lost to extreme weather in the past six months (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).

Can small firms get the credit they need?

Credit is there, but not evenly. Approval swings by product and by lender, and one in three firms still ends up short. Slow-paying customers add to the strain, as late payment statistics show.

Funding needs and outcomes for US employer firms, 2025 Small Business Credit Survey Figure 7: 60% of employer firms applied for financing and 40% did not, and the survey sorts them into 51% whose needs were met, 34% with a shortfall and 15% with unmet needs. Source: Federal Reserve Banks, 2026 Report on Employer Firms, Mar 2026. Chart published by the source, rendered from page 18 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How many firms get the funding they need?

About half have their funding needs met.

Who gets approved?

Half of applicants are fully approved, and the rest are not.

What does debt cost now?

Money is not cheap, but banks say they are not tightening.

How many businesses file for bankruptcy?

Bankruptcy is the rare end of the road, but it is the one the courts count exactly. Business filings are now above the level before the pandemic.

Table of US business and nonbusiness bankruptcy cases by chapter, 12 months ending June 30, 2026 Figure 8: In the 12 months to 30 June 2026 the courts logged 608,511 bankruptcy cases, of which 26,941 were business cases, split into Chapter 7, Chapter 11 and Chapter 13. Source: U.S. Courts, Table F-2, Jun 2026. Table published by the source, rendered from page 1 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How many business bankruptcies were filed?

The count has come back up from the pandemic low.

  • Business filings were 22,780 in the 12 months to 31 December 2019 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2019).
  • They fell to 14,347 in the 12 months to 31 December 2021 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2021).
  • All bankruptcy filings, business and personal, were 608,511 in the 12 months to 30 June 2026, up 12.2% from 542,529 (U.S. Courts, Jun 2026).
  • Personal and other nonbusiness cases made up 581,570 of the 2026 total (U.S. Courts, Jun 2026).

Which chapters do businesses file under?

Chapter 11 has grown fastest.

  • In the 12 months to 30 June 2026, business filings were 15,298 under Chapter 7, 9,766 under Chapter 11 and 1,337 under Chapter 13 (U.S. Courts, Jun 2026).
  • Business Chapter 11 filings were 7,900 a year earlier (U.S. Courts, Jun 2025), 6,052 in 2019 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2019) and 4,366 in 2021 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2021).
  • Business Chapter 7 filings were 13,314 a year earlier (U.S. Courts, Jun 2025), 14,215 in 2019 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2019) and 8,678 in 2021 (U.S. Courts, Dec 2021).

How many new businesses are starting?

People keep starting businesses. Applications are well above where they stood before the pandemic, and most of them never become employers.

Monthly US business applications, seasonally adjusted, 2004 to September 2026 Figure 9: Monthly business applications jumped in 2020 and have stayed above their old range ever since, reaching 534,947 in September 2026. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Business Applications, retrieved from FRED, Sep 2026. Screenshot of the source page, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How many applications are filed?

More than half a million a month.

  • Seasonally adjusted applications for September 2026 were 534,947, up 0.5% from August (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • Applications were 5,224,176 in 2024 (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • High-propensity applications, the kind most likely to become employers, were 1,708,842 in 2025, against 1,316,191 in 2019 (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).

How many are in construction?

About one in ten applications.

How many applications become employer businesses?

Few do.

  • In 2019, 280,266 applications became employer businesses within four quarters (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • In construction, 34,069 did (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).
  • The Census Bureau projects 29,022 formations within four quarters from the September 2026 applications (U.S. Census Bureau, Oct 2026).

How big is small business in America?

Most small businesses have no staff. That changes what closing means: a one-person shop that stops is a closed business, not a mass layoff.

Number of US small businesses 1997 to 2022 split into nonemployer and employer firms Figure 10: Nonemployer firms drive nearly all the growth in the number of US small businesses, while employer firms stay near 6 million. Source: SBA Office of Advocacy, Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business, Feb 2026. Chart published by the source, rendered from page 1 of its PDF and cropped, captured 20 Oct 2026.

How many small businesses have no employees?

Almost all of them. The next lines show the count and what small firms add up to.

How are small businesses owned and set up?

Mostly as sole proprietorships and family firms.

Methodology and Sources

We took each number from the agency or research body that produced it, and each link goes to the report or data file. We do not use roundups. Survival and closing figures differ by source because the series count different things: the Bureau of Labor Statistics counts establishments by opening year, the Census Bureau reports yearly entry and exit rates, and the JPMorganChase Institute tracks bank customers. We do not mix them in one claim. Survey figures from the Federal Reserve Banks come from a sample of firms, weighted by the Reserve Banks, and are shares of employer firms unless a line says nonemployer. Some tables came from files that sites would not serve to a script: the two Bureau of Labor Statistics survival tables were read and checked against Internet Archive copies of the same files. Calculated values are marked in the text, such as the range of five-year survival across cohorts. The page is checked and updated every month.

Glossary

  • BED: Business Employment Dynamics, the Bureau of Labor Statistics series on openings and closings.
  • BDS: Business Dynamics Statistics, the Census Bureau series on firm and establishment entry and exit.
  • BFS: Business Formation Statistics, the Census Bureau series on business applications.
  • BTOS: Business Trends and Outlook Survey, a Census Bureau survey run every two weeks.
  • Cohort: all establishments that opened in the same year to March.
  • Establishment: one physical location of a business. A firm can own many.
  • Firm: a business, which may own one or more establishments.
  • Employer firm: a firm with paid employees. A nonemployer firm has none.
  • NAICS: North American Industry Classification System, the code for a type of business.
  • SBA: US Small Business Administration.
  • SBCS: Small Business Credit Survey, run by the Federal Reserve Banks.
  • SLOOS: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, run by the Federal Reserve Board.

Sources

Cite this page

Every number here links to the source that published it. Quote any of them with a link to this page or to the source.

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